Virginia Tech Confidence Meter: How I Feel About the Hokies' Chances Against Cal

Virginia Tech’s first loss under head coach James Franklin last Friday coincided with an uptick in a confidence forecast for its Saturday trip to Cal, where the model places the Hokies’ odds at 75%. The analysis points to matchups: Virginia Tech outgained Pitt 499–295 but suffered a 35–33 loss, including four turnovers and a 36-yard miss at the end. Cal is 2–3 (1–1 ACC) and averages 95.0 rushing yards per game, allowing 187.4 per carry at 5.2. Cal quarterback Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele is questionable on Thursday due to concussion protocol, while running back Carter Vargas is out.