JPMorgan Bitcoin Forecast Gives BTC an Edge Over US Stocks

JPMorgan Asset Management’s first long-term Bitcoin forecast gives BTC an estimated 10% annual compounded return over 10 to 15 years, ranking it highest among the assets it modeled in its 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions. Released October 19 as the firm’s 31st annual edition, the outlook covers more than 200 asset classes and assigns Bitcoin a 55% annualized volatility. For comparison, JPMorgan’s assumptions put U.S. large-cap stocks at 7.5% compounded, U.S. REITs at 8.2%, and gold at 5.5%. The report also cites a 20.9% arithmetic average annual return, distinguishing realized compounding from simple averages.