The Stock Market Just Saw One of Its Best 8-Week Stretches Ever. What Normally Happens Next Will Surprise You.

The stock market just posted one of its best eight-week runs ever, but what happens next may defy expectations. The S&P 500 climbed 17% over eight weeks, marking the 20th-largest such rally since 1950, according to Creative Planning's analysis cited by Daily Chartbook. Across three forward windows, the index has averaged gains of about 10% over three months, 14% over six months, and 27% over a year after similar rallies, suggesting momentum tends to continue rather than reverse. The macro backdrop includes a Fed funds rate upper bound of 4%, creating a supportive, though contested, environment for equities.