Patriots vs. Jaguars Week 3 player props: Kalshi markets vs. data projections

New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars headlines Week 3 action on Sunday, September 27, 2026, at EverBank Stadium, with both teams starting 1–1. Ahead of a 1 p.m. ET kickoff, Dimers ran 10,000 simulations to compare its player-performance projections against trade markets including Kalshi and Polymarket. For first-touchdown bets, Polymarket lists Rhamondre Stevenson at 11¢, but Dimers highlights Bhayshul Tuten at 8¢ with a 9.1% probability—an edge versus his 8% share on Kalshi. For passing yards, Dimers projects Drake Maye for 225 yards, while expecting Trevor Lawrence to land at 235, despite a tough Week 2 showing.