Vermont Elections: Who's Leading In Prediction Markets?

Kalshi data indicates Vermont’s November elections are unusually straightforward, with both statewide races considered safe for incumbents from opposing parties. The article points to U.S. Rep. Becca Balint, a Democrat, and five-term Gov. Phil Scott, a Republican, as expected to “coast” to victory on Nov. 3, supported by prediction markets and limited polling. It says Vermont has two statewide contests on the ballot: one House seat and one governor’s race. For the governor’s race, Phil Scott (R) faces Amanda Janoo (D). For the House race, the piece notes most contests aren’t expected to be competitive this cycle and references Kalshi futures markets where active. It also reiterates how prediction markets work and how they differ from polls.