Can Mexico Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Can Mexico Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mexico is building momentum ahead of Tuesday’s match against Ecuador, positioned as a potential first knockout-stage win in 40 years. Under head coach Javier “El Vasco” Aguirre, El Tri are listed at +120 to beat Ecuador at Estadio Azteca in front of the home crowd. The odds imply a 45.45% chance of a Mexico win, while Ecuador is +280 and a regulation draw is +190. Mexico’s path continues: a victory would send the team to the Round of 16 in Mexico City, with later rounds concluding in the United States. Mexico’s group run featured three straight wins without allowing a goal, shutting out South Africa 2-0, South Korea 1-0, and Czechia 3-0. Ecuador, by contrast, struggled to score in group play, losing 1-0 to Ivory Coast on June 14 and then drawing 0-0 with Curacao before a 2-1 win over Germany on June 25.