Sports Illustrated
Kalshi vs Polymarket Super Bowl: Which Site Has Better Payout?
xCruzo Brief
Kalshi and Polymarket both list Super Bowl markets with similar top contenders, but the implied payouts differ depending on the site. On both platforms, the San Francisco 49ers and Buffalo Bills rank first and second. Kalshi’s next teams are the Chicago Bears, Kansas City Chiefs, and Seattle Seahawks to complete its top five, while Polymarket places the Chiefs, Seahawks, and Bears in that order. Comparing a $10 trade, Kalshi estimates $52.86 profit on the 49ers (vs. $58.61 on Polymarket) and $57.35 on the Bills (vs. $64.92). Bears, Chiefs, and Seahawks show mixed advantages, with higher totals for Chicago and Seattle on Polymarket. Team prices align with records including San Francisco’s and Buffalo’s 6-1 starts.
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