Can Lamu Port sustain its Gulf conflict windfall?

Can Lamu Port sustain its Gulf conflict windfall? Economists and maritime experts say Kenya’s new Lamu Port benefited temporarily as disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz pushed vessels away from Dubai’s Jebel Ali, forcing diversions to East Africa. The surge helped position Lamu as an alternative shipping gateway, sending thousands of luxury and heavy-duty vehicles to the port. Between March and April, more than 6,000 vehicles, including trucks, tractors and brands such as Porsche, were rerouted after vessels faced access problems at Jebel Ali. With the Strait reopening efforts gaining pace and Gulf shipping expected to normalize, analysts warn Lamu’s long-term competitiveness will hinge on inland connectivity, including roads, railways and pipeline links, rather than ongoing conflict. Marine transport expert Elijah Mbaru said momentum depends on connectivity after the crisis ends. Experts also cite operational capacity: the port’s first three berths are 400 metres long and 18 metres deep, enabling large container ships with less dredging.